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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2014-12-17T05:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-12-17T05:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/7400/-1
CME Note: CME is associated with M8.7 class flare that peaked around 2014-12-17T04:50Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T04:13Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-12-19T21:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:

Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: hi-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 2.2

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary:2014-12-17T11:00Z 
Radial velocity (km/s):650 
Longitude (deg):E08 
Latitude (deg):S19 
Half-angular width (deg):43 

Notes: 
Space weather advisor:Mark Sidaway
Limited imagery available for analysis but moderate confidence.

Lead Time: 74.05 hour(s)
Difference: 31.22 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2014-12-18T02:10Z

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